Volume, graded hit rate, market coverage and book-level edges for the 1st Half Rec TDs market, rolling 30 days.
| Date | Cards | Graded | HIT rate | Avg edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | 26 | 0 | — | +5.7 |
| Player | Cards | HIT rate | Avg edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samaje Perine | 1 | — | +6.7 |
| Tony Pollard | 1 | — | +6.6 |
| Justice Hill | 1 | — | +6.5 |
| Drew Sample | 1 | — | +6.5 |
| Calvin Ridley | 1 | — | +6.5 |
| Matthew Hibner | 1 | — | +6.4 |
| Derrick Henry | 1 | — | +6.4 |
| Gunnar Helm | 1 | — | +6.4 |
| Devontez Walker | 1 | — | +6.3 |
| Erick All Jr. | 1 | — | +6.2 |
| Quinshon Judkins | 1 | — | +6.1 |
| Chase Brown | 1 | — | +5.8 |
Cards in this market were priced against an average of 2.0 books at publish time. Book-level pricing detail appears when per-book odds are present in the scored feed.
1st Half Rec TDs cards are graded automatically after the slate settles. Edge is the gap between the model's probability and the consensus devigged market price at publish time, in percentage points. These pages are the paper trail behind every call — no retro-editing.
The full slate — every card, every confidence grade, auto-graded results and streak chests — lands daily at 9 AM ET on hitlay.com.
SEE TODAY'S SLATE — HITLAY21+. Hitlay sells picks and analysis, not bets. Historical accuracy is not a guarantee of future results. Know your limits — 1-800-GAMBLER. Data: 2026-11-02 build.